Gold production in Canada is expected to increase by 3% to 6.55Moz in 2022, from 6.37Moz delivered in 2021. Over the medium term, the country is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.3% to reach 8.5Moz in 2027. This growth will be helped by the commencement of new projects, including Magino, Greenstone, Blackwater, Côte Gold and the Coffee projects.
Canada
accounted for 5.7% of global gold production in 2021, ranking the country fifth
after China, Russia, Australia and the US. Production growth was mainly due to
increases in output at the Agnico Eagle’s Detour Lake, Canadian Malartic,
Meadowbank Complex, Meliadine and the Alamos’ Gold Young-Davidson mines, among
others.
Ontario and Quebec are the largest gold-producing provinces in the country; together,
they represent more than 70% of Canada’s gold output. According to the Canadian
government, gold was the nation’s most valuable mined commodity, with C$12.3bn
(US$9.18bn) worth of the precious metal produced in 2020.

Canada’s
gold exports accounted 307.44t (worth US$15.05bn) in 2021. During the June
quarter 2022, gold exports were 76.67t (US$3.2bn), down 22% from 99.47t during
the same period last year. Gold was exported mostly to UK (37.8t), South Africa
(19.6t), Switzerland (11.2t), and US (7.1t).
Canada has pledged to cut its carbon
emissions 40% to 45% below 2005 levels by 2030 and put the country on a path to
achieve net-zero emissions by 2050.
Mayfair Gold announced that its
Fenn-Gib Project is now Canada’s first carbon neutral gold project. The company
stated this after completing its carbon credit purchases to offset its 2021
emissions, its first year of operations. The company bought carbon offsets from
the Thermal Residential Heating Aggregation Project to compensate for
Fenn-Gib's emissions. The project replaces traditional residential fossil fuel
combustion heating with solar-powered heating systems.
Canadian Malartic – the largest
operating gold mine in Canada – produced 75.2koz in the September quarter, 13%
decrease compared to the same quarter in 2021. Total production in 2022 is
expected to reach 640koz. The output reduction comes from an ongoing
optimisation of the processing plant to improve the production profile during
the transition from the open pit to the underground Odyssey project.
This
optimisation is also expected to result in enhanced financial metrics and cash
flow. The mill throughput is forecast to return to full capacity of
approximately 60,000tpd in the second half of 2024 as the underground mining
operations ramp up. The mine’s life is expected to end by 2029 from open pit
and 2039 from underground operations.
Pure Gold Red Lake Mine
project in Ontario, started commercial operations on August 2021. The mine was expected
to add 87.8koza of gold, however, the company has suspended operations at the
mine and has placed it on an undefined care and maintenance as the mine has not
achieved yet consistent positive cash flow to alleviate the company’s financial
problems. Consequently, Pure Gold revoked its production guidance for the December
quarter 2022, which was previously set at 9koz-12.5koz.
New Projects to Rule the Medium-Term Supply
Argonaut’s
Magino is a feasibility- stage open-pit low-grade oxide project located in
Ontario, Canada. The project is expected to produce first gold pour in April
2023. Mineral reserves of 65.5Mt at 1.15 g/t containing approximately 2.4Moz of
gold will sustain the life of mine for 19 years.
Equinox Gold acquired a 50%
interest in the Greenstone Project through its acquisition of Premier Gold
Mines and acquired an additional 10% from Orion Mine Finance Group in April
2021. Greenstone gold project is under construction and expects first gold by
2024 with a LOM of 14-years. Gold production during the first five years is
expected to average more than 400koza with an average head grade of 1.45g/t
gold.
Artemis Gold has announced
the start of site works at the company’s Blackwater project located in British
Columbia. The program marks the commencement of on-site work to prepare
Blackwater for the start of major works construction activities in March
quarter 2023, following receipt of the BC Mines Act Permit expected by the end
of the year.
The scope of this program consists of expanding the capacity of
the existing exploration camp by 90 rooms; construction of a 245-room
construction camp; installation of a wastewater treatment plant; upgrading the
potable water storage and treatment system; upgrading existing access roads to
improve safety standards; and other activities.
The company expects the program
to be completed by December 2022, with final installation of a full-capacity
wastewater treatment system and drainage system scheduled for completion in
March quarter 2023. According to the 2021 FS, mining operations are assumed to
cease in year 17 with stockpiled ore rehandled and processed through the
process plant in years 18-22. First gold is targeted by 2024.
IAMGOLD’ Côté Gold project
is another advanced stage project targeted to start in 2024. Located in the
Chester and Yeo Townships, District of Sudbury, in north-eastern Ontario, Côté
Gold is forecasted to produce an average of 492koza for the first five years of
an 18-year life of mine.
Agnico Eagle: New Canadian Gold Giant
Agnico
Eagle (AEM) produced a total of 2.1Moz of gold in 2021, which positioned it as
the sixth world largest gold producer. In February 2022, the company announced
the completion of the merger of equals with Kirkland Lake Gold. The transaction
worth US$10.62bn topped Newmont’s 2019 acquisition of Goldcorp and signalled an
ongoing trend of industry consolidation.
The
merger solidifies AEM’s gold production, expected to increase from 2.1Moza to
3.4Moza in 2022 – 75% of it from its Canadian assets – which will position it
as the third largest gold producer behind Newmont and Barrick Gold. AEM
obtained a total of 18.9Moz in mineral reserves and 22.4Moz in resources. The Canadian
assets included in the transaction are the Macassa and Detour Lake Mine, both
located in Northern Ontario.
Detour
Lake's combined measured and indicated mineral resources totalled 15.2Moz of
gold (574.9Mt grading 0.83g/t gold) in 2021, which was a 194% increase in
ounces compared to the 5.2Moz in 2020. The increase in measured and indicated
mineral resources was driven by significant drilling success in 2021.
The new mine
plan adds 5.1Moz of recovered gold, improved production in 2028 to 2031 and
mine life extended by ten years to 2052. Detour Lake was the country’s larger gold
contributor in 2021 with 712.8koz produced. The mine is expected to produce
715koz in 2022.
Exploration
activities at Macassa have delivered positive results. The extension of the
ramp from Macassa to the Amalgamated Kirkland (AK) deposit was recently completed.
Two underground drills are currently operating in the ramp, with one focused on
infill drilling higher grade areas near the proposed bulk sample.
AEM believes
ore could be sourced for the Macassa mill in early 2024, which could provide
flexibility to the operations. Recent results include a highlight intercept of
30.7g/t gold over 3.6m at 64m depth. Commissioning of Shaft #4 at the mine is
expected to commence in the December quarter.

AEM
has committed to achieving net-zero emissions by 2050 and has disclosed Scope 3
GHG emissions. The company reported in
2021 operating greenhouse gas (GHG)-efficient gold mines with a combined
intensity of 0.4t of CO2e/oz produced. AEM total GHG Emissions (Scope 1 and 2)
in Canada region during 2021, accounted 67% of the company’s total emissions.